2009 NFL Preseason Week 1(c) Picks

Jacksonville at Miami (-3, 33), 7:30 PM ETJacksonville is notorious for not taking the first few games of the preseason seriously. On the other hand Miami is essentially a Bill Parcells organization and Parcells is known for wanting to excel in the preseason. HC Tony Sparano was 3-1 SU/ATS last preseason (his first) and the UNDER was 4-0. Miami seems like a sound pick being they are at home and off a Division Championship but we are going to buck the UNDER trend. We're thinking Miami Rookie QB Pat White will add some dimension to the Dolphins Wildcat formations. In addition, Jacksonville lost just about all their receivers but now sport FA WR Torry Holt. Jacksonville is probably going to want to work on the passing game.

We like.... MIA(-3) 2* OVER (33) 2*
FINAL: Jacksonville 9 Miami 12 [0] - PUSH/UNDER
Carolina at NY Giants (-3, 32.5), 8:00 PM ET
This is the first installment of Monday Night Football. Eli just signed his contract extension. The Giants as a whole are trying to refine their look post-Burress, post-Toomer era. The posted total is 32 and a hook. Nine (9) of the fifteen (15) or 60% of the preseason games played thus far have gone over the TOTAL of 32.5. We see no reason why this game would stay UNDER. Joe Public is thinking no Toomer+no Burress+no Steve Smith (Carolina - shoulder) = NO Points. Normally we would agree but here like above, we play contrarian.
We like... OVER (32.5) 2*
FINAL: Carolina 17 NY Giants 24 [+4] - NYG/OVER