14.8.09

2009 NFL Preseason Week 1(b) Picks

St. Louis at NY Jets (-4, 33.5), 7:00 PM ET
Two brand new coaches. Steve Spagnuolo former Giants defensive coordinator is new HC for the Rams. Rex Ryan former Baltimore defensive coordinator is new HC for the Jets. In addition both teams are installing new offenses or new personnel in current offenses. In addition, preseason HF of more than 3 points are 5-14 ATS since 2000.

We like.... UNDER (33.5) 2*
FINAL: St. Louis 23 - NY Jets 20 [-9.5] - Marc Bulger turned in a perfect 4 of 4 performance tonight for the Rams while the Jets took the bubble wrap off of Mark Sanchez. Two teams still struggling for an identity.
Minnesota at Indianapolis (-1.5, 35), 7:30 PM ET
No reason to think that Indianapolis will take this game anymore serious than they have any of their preseason contests under Brad Childress. Minnesota QB Tavaris Jackson should be eager to prove that he, not Favre, is the answer to the franchise.
We like... MIN(+1.5) 1*
FINAL: Minnesota 13 - Indianapolis 3 [+11.5] - And here they come...the cries for Sage Rosenfels to take over as starting QB of the Vikings. Easy folks...its just the preseason.
Cincinnati at New Orleans (-3, 37), 8:00 PM ETNew Orleans and Cincinnati are both expected to be among the most improved teams in the NFL this season, and both would like to get the exhibition campaign off to a great start when they meet on Friday night. The Bengals are excited about the return of QB Carson Palmer from injury. He’ll see time in this game, along with his brother Jordan. Under HC Marvin Lewis, Cincinnati has gone 13-10 ATS in the preseason and has been one of the few teams that produces OVER’s regularly, as they are 9-2 OVER the total in road games under Lewis. The Saints could help contribute offensively as well, as they come off a season in which they led the NFL in points.
We will stay away. Leaning towards the OVER but the line is sort of high for a preseason contest
FINAL: Cincinnati 7 - New Orleans 17 - We thought the total was too high. It's going to be hard at first to remember to look for Chad Ochocinco instead of Johnson in the boxscores this season. Chris Palmer threw a pick but otherwise looked just okay.
Denver at San Francisco (-3, 34), 10:00 PM ET
There’s no disputing the fact that Josh McDaniels has made waves with the Broncos in his early days with the organization. He gets the first chance to show what his team will have on the field on Friday night in San Francisco. Very little figures to look familiar to Broncos’ fans, so you can pretty much throw out any past trends regarding Denver’s preseason success or its penchant for playing in higher scoring games. Kyle Orton will be the signal caller for McDaniels, but this is an offense that figures to be an even mix of run and pass. San Francisco has its own QB concerns, namely finding one to call its starter. The organization would love to see former #1 pick Alex Smith step up and claim the spot, but Shaun Hill has proven the more reliable option. This will be the first preseason head coaching experience for either McDaniels or 49ers’ head man Mike Singletary.
We will watch this one. Too many changes in the Bronco organization to get a feel. San Francisco will have a new look as well.
FINAL: Denver 16 - San Francisco 17 - Rookie Glen Coffee and Frank Gore are going to be a great tandem. Even though it's preseason, this was a good way for Mike Singletary to start off his first full season as HC.